Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Stuttgart
19.0%
Draw
13.6%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Stuttgart
vs
0.99
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
4-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).