Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Casa Pia
28.2%
Draw
34.3%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Casa Pia
vs
1.25
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).