Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Villarreal
19.9%
Draw
13.5%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Villarreal
vs
0.86
Valencia
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).