Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Gresley
28.6%
Draw
38.9%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Gresley
vs
1.14
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).