Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Leicester
28.8%
Draw
54.7%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Leicester
vs
1.55
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
12.0%
0-0
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).