Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Brentford
32.7%
Draw
21.7%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Brentford
vs
0.73
Charlton
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
15.8%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).