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20 Dec 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.3%
Cartagena
26.4%
Draw
47.3%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Cartagena

vs
1.43

Albacete

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).