Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.4%
Burnley
17.8%
Draw
3.8%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Burnley
vs
0.28
Preston
Markets
BTTS21.9%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.4%
1-0
19.8%
3-0
13.6%
0-0
10.6%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
5-0
2.7%
0-1
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
2-2
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).