Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.6%
Aris
13.2%
Draw
6.2%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Aris
vs
0.55
Nantes
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
6.2%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
4.0%
0-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).