Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Coventry
23.7%
Draw
13.6%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Coventry
vs
0.72
Charlton
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).