Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.6%
Kidderminster
18.0%
Draw
65.4%
Buxton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Kidderminster
vs
2.34
Buxton
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).