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17 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Sutton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.1%
Bradford
21.0%
Draw
19.9%
Sutton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Bradford

vs
1.01

Sutton

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).