Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Eibar
24.1%
Draw
13.1%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Eibar
vs
0.58
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).