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18 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Polissya Zhytomyr
27.2%
Draw
49.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Polissya Zhytomyr

vs
1.47

Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).