Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Fleetwood Town
22.5%
Draw
47.5%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.63
Oxford
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).