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AHT: 01CSV

20 Jun 2020 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.7%
Schalke 04
25.3%
Draw
42.0%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Schalke 04

vs
1.65

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).