Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.2%
Chelsea
7.9%
Draw
2.9%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.73
Chelsea
vs
0.70
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.581.9%
Over 3.564.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.3%
4-0
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
7.2%
4-1
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
5-1
5.0%
1-0
4.0%
1-1
3.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).