Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Jagiellonia Białystok
21.2%
Draw
15.5%
Arka Gdynia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.00
Arka Gdynia
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).