Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Lyon
22.5%
Draw
31.9%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Lyon
vs
1.38
Monaco
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).