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22 Sept 2024 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Veres
31.2%
Draw
23.6%
Inhulets

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Veres

vs
0.77

Inhulets

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).