Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Hoffenheim
21.1%
Draw
44.4%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Hoffenheim
vs
2.21
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS76.8%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.578.4%
Over 3.559.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-3
5.3%
3-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-3
3.5%
1-4
3.0%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).