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19 Oct 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Oxford
32.7%
Draw
29.8%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Oxford

vs
0.94

West Brom

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).