Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Motherwell
27.0%
Draw
22.5%
Hibernian
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Motherwell
vs
0.94
Hibernian
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).