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09 May 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.5%
Blackpool
20.1%
Draw
18.4%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Blackpool

vs
0.92

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).