Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Cambridge
25.6%
Draw
33.7%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cambridge
vs
1.11
Burton
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).