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27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Charlton
35.9%
Draw
27.8%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Charlton

vs
0.78

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.581.0%
Over 1.552.4%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.0%
1-0
15.7%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).